FA Cup — xG
Expected Goals stagione 2025/26: chi crea più occasioni, chi finalizza meglio del previsto e chi spreca.
Squadre
62
xG totale lega
187
Gol reali
196
Diff lega
+8.9
Performance vs xG (62 squadre)
Performance = gol reali − xG. Positivo (verde) = squadra cinica/fortunata, Negativo (rosso) = sprecona/sfortunata.
| # | Squadra | P | Gol | xG | xG sub | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 21 | 10.9 | 4.2 | +10.07 |
| 2 |  Chelsea | 4 | 17 | 12.3 | 4.1 | +4.69 |
| 3 |  Mansfield Town | 3 | 7 | 2.9 | 8.3 | +4.06 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 5 | 9 | 5.5 | 8.3 | +3.45 |
| 5 |  Bristol City | 1 | 5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | +2.76 |
| 6 |  Burton Albion | 2 | 5 | 2.9 | 2.6 | +2.06 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 4 | 11 | 9.2 | 4.0 | +1.77 |
| 8 |  Birmingham | 2 | 4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | +1.25 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 3 | 7 | 5.8 | 3.8 | +1.22 |
| 10 |  Weston-super-Mare | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | +1.21 |
| 11 |  Burnley | 2 | 6 | 5.0 | 1.6 | +0.97 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 3 | 6 | 5.2 | 6.9 | +0.84 |
| 13 |  Cambridge United | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | +0.79 |
| 14 |  Wolves | 3 | 8 | 7.2 | 3.8 | +0.76 |
| 15 |  Doncaster | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | +0.58 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | +0.58 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 2 | 5 | 4.5 | 6.2 | +0.51 |
| 18 |  Leicester | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | +0.45 |
| 19 |  Exeter City | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | +0.43 |
| 20 |  Brighton | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | +0.41 |
| 21 |  Derby | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | +0.40 |
| 22 |  QPR | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | +0.33 |
| 23 |  Macclesfield | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | 3.0 | +0.27 |
| 24 |  Watford | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | +0.27 |
| 25 |  Sheffield Utd | 1 | 3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | +0.27 |
| 26 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | +0.25 |
| 27 |  Grimsby | 2 | 3 | 2.8 | 2.8 | +0.16 |
| 28 |  Fulham | 3 | 5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | +0.07 |
| 29 |  Shrewsbury | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | 4.5 | +0.06 |
| 30 |  Millwall | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | +0.04 |
| 31 |  Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 2.0 | 7.1 | +0.03 |
| 32 |  Charlton | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | -0.10 |
| 33 |  Tottenham | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -0.18 |
| 34 |  Barnsley | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | -0.18 |
| 35 |  Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3.1 | -0.21 |
| 36 |  Salford City | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | -0.31 |
| 37 |  Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -0.37 |
| 38 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 3.4 | -0.38 |
| 39 |  Oxford United | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -0.48 |
| 40 |  Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 2.8 | -0.56 |
| 41 |  Everton | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -0.57 |
| 42 |  Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | -0.62 |
| 43 |  Portsmouth | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 3.0 | -0.65 |
| 44 |  Nottingham Forest | 1 | 3 | 3.7 | 2.2 | -0.71 |
| 45 |  Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -0.73 |
| 46 |  Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | -0.76 |
| 47 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 2 | 3.0 | 2.9 | -0.99 |
| 48 |  Fleetwood Town | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.02 |
| 49 |  Wigan | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.7 | -1.05 |
| 50 |  West Brom | 2 | 2 | 3.0 | 5.7 | -1.05 |
| 51 |  Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | -1.06 |
| 52 |  Ipswich | 1 | 2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | -1.12 |
| 53 |  Norwich | 2 | 3 | 4.1 | 2.9 | -1.12 |
| 54 |  Leeds | 5 | 9 | 10.3 | 8.1 | -1.25 |
| 55 |  Preston | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | -1.27 |
| 56 |  Stoke City | 2 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.45 |
| 57 |  Swansea | 1 | 1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | -1.71 |
| 58 |  Hull City | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | -1.75 |
| 59 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | -1.82 |
| 60 |  West Ham | 4 | 7 | 9.6 | 8.3 | -2.63 |
| 61 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 4.7 | 3.0 | -2.68 |
| 62 |  Brentford | 3 | 5 | 8.3 | 3.0 | -3.31 |
Cosa è xG?
Expected Goals (xG) è la somma della probabilità di ogni tiro di diventare gol. Una squadra che genera 50 xG e segna 60 gol sta sopra-performando: cinismo o fortuna. Sotto-performa quando segna molto meno del previsto.
Sul lungo periodo gol e xG si allineano. Una grossa divergenza è spesso un campanello di regressione.