Fortuna Köln — xG
Expected Goals generato e concesso partita per partita. Performance = gol reali − xG: positivo significa fortuna o cinismo, negativo significa sfortuna o pochezza realizzativa.
Dato xG non ancora disponibile per questa squadra in stagione.
Partita per partita (38)
| Data | Avv | Gol | xG | xG sub | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 lug, 12:00 | vs Preußen Münster | 1-4 | — | — | — |
| 04 ago, 12:00 | @ Hallescher FC | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| 07 ago, 17:00 | vs Karlsruher SC | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| 11 ago, 12:00 | @ FSV Zwickau | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| 26 ago, 12:00 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| 02 set, 12:00 | vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| 17 set, 17:00 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3-3 | — | — | — |
| 22 set, 12:00 | vs Sportfreunde Lotte | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 26 set, 17:00 | @ VfL Osnabrück | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| 29 set, 12:00 | vs KFC Uerdingen 05 | 1-2 | — | — | — |
| 06 ott, 12:00 | @ VfR Aalen | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| 20 ott, 12:00 | vs Energie Cottbus | 3-1 | — | — | — |
| 27 ott, 12:00 | @ Hansa Rostock | 1-3 | — | — | — |
| 04 nov, 13:00 | vs SV Wehen | 0-7 | — | — | — |
| 11 nov, 12:00 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 0-6 | — | — | — |
| 24 nov, 13:00 | vs Würzburger Kickers | 0-0 | — | — | — |
| 02 dic, 12:00 | @ SV Meppen | 0-3 | — | — | — |
| 08 dic, 13:00 | vs TSV 1860 München | 0-0 | — | — | — |
| 14 dic, 18:00 | @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 22 dic, 13:00 | @ Preußen Münster | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| 26 gen, 13:00 | vs Hallescher FC | 0-1 | — | — | — |
| 02 feb, 13:00 | @ Karlsruher SC | 1-3 | — | — | — |
| 09 feb, 13:00 | vs FSV Zwickau | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| 16 feb, 13:00 | vs Eintracht Braunschweig | 1-3 | — | — | — |
| 23 feb, 13:00 | @ FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| 02 mar, 13:00 | vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2-2 | — | — | — |
| 09 mar, 13:00 | @ Sportfreunde Lotte | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| 12 mar, 18:00 | vs VfL Osnabrück | 0-0 | — | — | — |
| 15 mar, 18:00 | @ KFC Uerdingen 05 | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 22 mar, 18:00 | vs VfR Aalen | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 30 mar, 13:00 | @ Energie Cottbus | 3-4 | — | — | — |
| 07 apr, 11:00 | vs Hansa Rostock | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 13 apr, 12:00 | @ SV Wehen | 0-3 | — | — | — |
| 20 apr, 12:00 | vs SpVgg Unterhaching | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 27 apr, 12:00 | @ Würzburger Kickers | 0-2 | — | — | — |
| 06 mag, 17:00 | vs SV Meppen | 1-1 | — | — | — |
| 11 mag, 11:30 | @ TSV 1860 München | 2-3 | — | — | — |
| 18 mag, 11:30 | vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 0-2 | — | — | — |
Cosa è xG?
Expected Goals (xG) è la somma della probabilità di ogni tiro di diventare gol, calcolata in base a posizione, tipo di tiro e contesto. Una squadra che fa 1.5 xG e segna 0 gol è stata sfortunata o sprecona; chi fa 1.5 xG e segna 3 gol è stata cinica o fortunata.
Sul lungo periodo, gol e xG tendono ad allinearsi: una grande divergenza è un segnale di regressione verso la media.